ICTP Atmospheric General Circulation Model (SPEEDY)

Articles

Atmospheric simulations using a GCM with simplified physical parametrizations.
I: Model climatology and variability in multi-decadal experiments.

by Franco Molteni.

Climate Dynamics (2003), 20, 175-191.

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Appendix A: Formulation of physical parametrizations (PDF file, 186 Kbytes)

On non-linearities in a forced North Atlantic Oscillation.

by Fred Kucharski and Franco Molteni.

Climate Dynamics (2003), 21, 677-687.

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Internal variability, external forcing and climate trends in multi-decadal AGCM ensembles.

by Annalisa Bracco, Fred Kucharski, Rameshan Kallummal and Franco Molteni.

Climate Dynamics (2004), 23, 659 - 678.

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Internal and forced modes of variability in the Indian Ocean.

by Annalisa Bracco, Fred Kucharski, Franco Molteni, W. Hazeleger and C. Severijns.

Geophys. Res. Lett. (2005), 32, L12707.

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Decadal interactions between the western tropical Pacific and the North Atlantic Oscillation.

by Fred Kucharski, Franco Molteni and Annalisa Bracco.

Climate Dynamics (2006) , 26 : 79 - 91,DOI 10.1007/s00382-005-0085-5.

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SST forcing of decadal Indian Monsoon rainfall variability.

by Fred Kucharski, Franco Molteni and Jin Ho Yoo.

Geophys. Res. Lett. (2006), 33 , L03709, doi:10.1029/2005GL025371.

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A recipe for simulating the interannual variability of the Asian summer monsoon and its relation with ENSO.

by Annalisa Bracco, Fred Kucharski, Franco Molteni, Wilco Hazeleger and Camiel Seveijns.

Climate Dynamics (2007) , 28 : 441 - 460,DOI 10.1007/s00382-006-0190-0.

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Low-Frequency Variability of the Indian Monsoon-ENSO Relationship and the Tropical Atlantic:

The 'Weakening' of the 1980s and 1990s.

by Fred Kucharski, Annalisa Bracco, Jin Ho Yoo and Franco Molteni.

Journal of Climate (2007) , 20 , 4255-4266, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI4254.1

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Atlantic forced component of the Indian monsoon interannual variability.

by Fred Kucharski, Annalisa Bracco, Jin Ho Yoo and Franco Molteni.

Geophys. Res. Lett. (2008), 35 , L04706, doi:10.1029/2007GL033037.

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Teleconnection mechanisms of northeast Brazil droughts: Modeling and empirical evidence.

by Fred Kucharski, Dierk Polzin and Stefan Hastenrath.

Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia (2008), 23 (2) , 115-125.

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A Gill-Matsuno-type mechanism explains the tropical Atlantic influence on African and Indian monsoon rainfall

by Fred Kucharski, Annalisa Bracco, Jin Ho Yoo, Adrian M Tompkins, Laura Feudale, Paolo Ruti, Alessandro Dell'Aquila

Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. (2009), 135, 569-579, DOI: 10.1002/qj.406.

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Teleconnections of the tropical Atlantic to the tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans: A review of recent findings

by Chunzai Wang, Fred Kucharski, Rondrotiana Barimalala, Annalisa Bracco

Meteorologische Zeitschrift (2009), 18(4), 445-454, DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2009/0394.

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Are Atlantic Ninos enhancing Pacific ENSO events in recent decades?

by Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca, Irene Polo, Javier Garcia-Serrano, Teresa Losada, Elsa Mohino, Carlos Roberto Mechoso, and Fred Kucharski

Geophys. Res. Lett. (2009), 36 , L20705, doi:10.1029/2009GL040048.

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Sensitivity of ENSO characteristics to a new interactive flux correction scheme in a coupled GCM

by Jurgen Kroger and Fred Kucharski

Climate Dynamics (2010), DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0759-5.

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Why is ENSO influencing Northwest India winter precipitation in recent decades?

by Ramesh K. Yadav, Jin Ho Yoo, Fred Kucharski and M. Adnan Abid

Journal of Climate (2010), 23 , 1979-1993, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3202.1.

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Contribution of the east-west thermal heating contrast to the South Asian Monsoon and consequences for its variability

by Fred Kucharski, Annalisa Bracco, Rondrotiana Barimalala and Jin Ho Yoo

Climate Dynamics (2010), DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0858-3.

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Planetary-scale variability in the northern winter and the impact of land-sea thermal contrast

by Franco Molteni, Martin P. King, Fred Kucharski, and David M. Straus

Climate Dynamics (2010), DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0906-z.

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The Roles of External Forcings and Internal Variabilities in the Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation Change from the 1960s to the 1990s

by Martin P. King, Fred Kucharski, and Franco Molteni

Journal of Climate (2010), 23 , 6200-6220, DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3239.1.

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Winter ENSO teleconnections in a warmer climate

by Ivana Herceg Bulic, Cedo Brankovic, Fred Kucharski

Climate Dynamics (2011), DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0987-8.

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Tropical Pacific response to 20th century Atlantic warming

by Fred Kucharski, In-Sik Kang, Riccardo Farneti and Laura Feudale

Geophys. Res. Lett. (2011), 38, L03702, doi:10.1029/2010GL046248.

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The Role of Regional SST Warming Variations in the Drying of Meso-America in Future Climate Projections

by Sara A. Rauscher, Fred Kucharski, David B. Enfield

Journal of Climate (2011), 24, 2003-2016, DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3536.1.

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The representation of the South Tropical Atlantic teleconnection to the Indian Ocean in the AR4 coupled models

by Rondrotiana Barimalala, Annalisa Bracco and Fred Kucharski

Climate Dynamics (2011), DOI: 10.1007/s00382-011-1082-5.

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Seasonal variations of the links between the interannual variability of South America and the South Pacific

by Laura Zamboni, Fred Kucharski and C. Roberto Mechoso

Climate Dynamics (2011), DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1116-z.

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Delayed ENSO impact on spring precipitation over North/Atlantic European region

by Ivana Herceg Bulic and Fred Kucharski

Climate Dynamics (2011), DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1151-9.

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Tropical influence on the summer Mediterranean climate

by Teresa Losada, Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca and Fred Kucharski

Atmospheric Science Letters (2011), DOI 10.1002/asl359.

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Changes in the interannual variability of the tropical Pacific as a response to an equatorial Atlantic forcing

by Marta Martin-Rey, Irene Polo, Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca and Fred Kucharski

SCIENTIA MARINA (2012), 76, 105-116, DOI: 10.3989/scimar.03610.19A.

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A further assessment of vegetation feedback on decadal Sahel rainfall variability

by Fred Kucharski, Ning Zeng and Eugenia Kalnay

Climate Dynamics (2012), DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1397-x.

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On the need of intermediate complexity general
circulation models: a 'SPEEDY' example.

by Fred Kucharski, Franco Molteni , Martin P. King, Riccardo Farneti, In-Sik Kang

BAMS (2013), 94, 25-30, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00238.1.

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Simulated impacts of the South Atlantic Ocean Dipole on summer precipitation at the Guinea Coast

by Hyacinth C. Nnamchi, Jianping Li, In- Sik Kang & Fred Kucharski

Climate Dynamics (2012), DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1629-0.

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A common mode of variability of African and Indian monsoon rainfall at decadal timescale.

by Laura Feudale and Fred Kucharski

Climate Dynamics (2013), 41, 243-254, DOI 10.1007/s00382-013-1827-4.

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A quantitative assessment of changes in seasonal potential predictability for the twentieth century.

by M. Azhar Ehsan, In-Sik Kang, Mansour Almazroui, M. Adnan Abid, Fred Kucharski

Climate Dynamics (2013), DOI 10.1007/s00382-013-1874-x.

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Pacific interdecadal variability driven by tropical-extratropical interactions.

by Riccardo Farneti, Franco Molteni, Fred Kucharski

Climate Dynamics (2013), DOI 10.1007/s00382-013-1906-6.

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North Atlantic SSTs as a Link between the Wintertime NAO and the Following Spring Climate.

by Ivana Herceg Bulic and Fred Kucharski

Journal of Climate (2013) , 27, 186-201, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00273.1.

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Potential predictability of the sea-surface temperature forced equatorial East African short rains interannual variability in the 20th century.

by Titike K. Bahaga, Gizaw Mengistu Tsidu, Fred Kucharski and Gulilat T. Diro

Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. (2014), doi: 10.1002/qj.2338.

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On the Atlantic-Pacific Ninos connection: a multidecadal modulated mode.

by Marta Martin-Rey, Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca, Irene Polo, Fred Kucharski

Climate Dynamics (2014), doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2305-3.

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Processes in the Pacific La Nina onset triggered by the Atlantic Nino.

by Irene Polo, Marta Martin-Rey, Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca, Fred Kucharski, Carlos Roberto Mechoso

Climate Dynamics (2014), DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2354-7.

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Multidecadal Changes in the Relationship between ENSO and Wet-Season Precipitation in the Arabian Peninsula.

by In-Sik Kang, Irfan Ur Rashid, Fred Kucharski, Mansour Almazroui, Abdulrahman K. Alkhalaf

Journal of Climate (2015), 28 , 4743-4751, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00388.1.

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Atlantic forcing of Pacific decadal variability.

by Fred Kucharski, Farah Ikram, Franco Molteni, Riccardo Farneti, In-Sik Kang, Hyun-Ho No, Martin P. King, Graziano Giuliani, Kristian Mogensen

Climate Dynamics (2015), DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2705-z.

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Contribution of Synoptic Transients to the Potential Predictability of PNA Circulation Anomalies: El Nino versus La Nina.

by Muhammad Adnan Abid, In-Sik Kang, Mansour Almazroui, Fred Kucharski

Journal of Climate (2015), 28, 8347-8362, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00497.1

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The Teleconnection of the Tropical Atlantic to Indo-Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures on Inter-Annual to Centennial Time Scales: A Review of Recent Findings.

by Fred Kucharski, Afroja Parvin, Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca, Riccardo Farneti, Marta Martin-Rey, Irene Polo, Elsa Mohino, Teresa Losada, Carlos R. Mechoso

Atmosphere (2016), 7(2), 29, doi:10.3390/atmos7020029

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Wintertime ENSO influence on late spring European climate: the stratospheric response and the role of North Atlantic SST.

by Ivana Herceg-Bulic, Bianca Mezzina, Fred Kucharski, Paolo Ruggieri and Martin P. King

International Journal of Climatology (2017), doi:10.1002/joc.4980

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Study of the global and regional climatic impacts of ENSO magnitude using SPEEDY AGCM.

by Muhammad Mubashar Dogar, Fred Kucharski and Syed Azharuddin

Journal of Earth System Science (2017), 126, 30, doi:10.1007/s12040-017-0804-4

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The transient atmospheric response to a reduction of sea-ice cover in the Barents and Kara Seas.

by Paolo Ruggieri, Fred Kucharski, Roberto Buizza and Maarten H. P. Ambaum

Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc. (2017),143, 1632-1640, doi:10.1002/qj.3034

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Western tropical Pacific multidecadal variability forced by the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation.

by Cheng Sun, Fred Kucharski, Jianping Li, Fei-Fei Jin, In-Sik Kang and Ruiqiang Ding

Nature Communications (2017), 15998, doi:10.1038/ncomms15998

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Oceanic response to changes in the WAIS and astronomical forcing during the MIS31 superinterglacial.

by Flavio Justino, Douglas Lindemann, Fred Kucharski, Aaron Wilson, David Bromwich and Frode Stordal

Clim. Past (2017), 13, 1081-1095, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-1081-2017

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Ekman pumping mechanism driving precipitation anomalies in response to equatorial heating.

by Mostafa E. Hamouda and Fred Kucharski

Climate Dynamics (2018), DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4169-4

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Climate model shows large-scale wind and solar farms in the Sahara increase rain and vegetation.

by Yan Li, Eugenia Kalnay, Safa Motesharrei, Jorge Rivas, Fred Kucharski, Daniel Kirk-Davidoff, Eviatar Bach, and Ning Zeng.

Science (2018), DOI:10.1126/science.aar5629

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Towards understanding the global and regional climatic impacts of Modoki magnitude.

by Muhammad Mubashar Dogar, Fred Kucharski, Tomonori Sato, Shahbaz Mehmood, Shaukat Ali, Zhiqiang Gong, Debanjana Das, Josefina Arraut.

Global and Planetary Change (2018), 172, 223-241, DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.10.004

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Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in November.

Martin P. King, Ivana Herceg-Bulic, Fred Kucharski, Noel Keenlyside.

Climate Dynamics (2019) , 50, 1881-1899, https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-017-3727-5

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Recent acceleration of Arabian Sea warming induced by the Atlantic-western Pacific trans-basin multidecadal variability.

Cheng Sun, Jianping Li, Fred Kucharski, In-Sik Kang, Fei-Fei Jin, Kaicun Wang, Chunzai Wang, Ruiqiang Ding, and Fei Xie.

Geophysical Research Letters (2019), 46, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081175

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The Response of the Midlatitude Jet to Regional Polar Heating in a Simple Storm-Track Model.

Paolo Ruggieri, Fred Kucharski, Lenka Novak.

Journal of Climate (2019), 32, 2869-2885, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0257.1

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Modal Decomposition of the Global Response to Tropical Heating Perturbations Resembling MJO.

Katarina Kosovelj, Fred Kucharski, Franco Molteni, Nedjeljka Zagar

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences (2019), 76, 1457-1469, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0203.1

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A modified seasonal cycle during MIS31 super-interglacial favors stronger interannual ENSO and monsoon variability.

Flavio Justino, Fred Kucharski, Douglas Lindeman, Aaron Wilson, Frode Stordal

Climate of the Past (2019), 76, 735-749,https://www.clim-past.net/15/735/2019/

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Variations on ozone and greenhouse gases as drivers of Southern Hemisphere in a medium-complexity global climate model.

Ramiro I. Saurral, Fred Kucharski, Gabriela A. Raggio

Climate Dynamics (2019),https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-019-04950-7

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Understanding the influence of ENSO patterns on drought over southern Africa using SPEEDY.

Michelle Gore, Babatunde J. Abiodun, Fred Kucharski

Climate Dynamics (2019),https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-019-05002-w

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Dynamics of the ENSO teleconnection and NAO variability in the North Atlantic-European late winter.

Bianca Mezzina, Javier Garcia-Serrano, Ileana Blade, Fred Kucharski

Journal of Climate (2019),https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0192.1

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Atlantic Ocean influence on Middle East summer surface air temperature.

Mohammad A Ehsan, Dario Nicoli, Fred Kucharski, et al.

npj Clim Atmos Sci (2020), https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-020-0109-1

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Tropical Indian Ocean Mediates ENSO Influence Over Central Southwest Asia During the Wet Season.

Muhammad Adnan Abid, Moetasim Ashfaq, Fred Kucharski, Katherine J. Evans, Mansour Almazroui

Geophysical Research Letters (2020), 47,e2020GL089308, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089308

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The Footprint of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on the Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Over the Western North Pacific.

Cheng Sun, Yusen Liu, Zhanqiu Gong, Fred Kucharski, Jianping Li, Qiuyun Wang, Xiang Li

Frontiers in Earth Science (2020), 8, 604807, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2020.604807

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Separating the Indian and Pacific Ocean Impacts on the Euro-Atlantic Response to ENSO and Its Transition from Early to Late Winter.

Muhammad Adnan Abid, Fred Kucharski, Franco Molteni, In-Sik Kang, Adrian M. Tompkins, Mansour Almazroui

Journal of Climate (2021), 34, 1531-1548, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0075.1

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Decoupling of the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation in a warmer climate.

Mostafa E. Hamouda, Claudia Pasquero, Eli Tziperman

Nature Climate Change (2021), https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00966-8

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The importance of inter-basin atmospheric teleconnection in the SST footprint of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation over western Pacific.

Cheng Sun, Yusen Liu, Jiaqing Xue, Fred Kucharski, Jianping Li, Xichen Li

Climate Dynamics (2021), 57, 239-252, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05705-z

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The North Pacific Blob acts to increase the predictability of the Atlantic warm pool.

Yusen Liu, Cheng Sun, Fred Kucharski, Jianping Li, Chunzai Wang, Ruiqiang Ding

Environmental Research Letters (2021), 16(6), 064034, https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac0030

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Cross-hemispheric SST propagation enhances the predictability of tropical western Pacific climate.

Cheng Sun, Yusen Liu, Tian Wei, Fred Kucharski, Jianping Li, Chunzai Wang

npj Clim Atmos Sci (2022), 5(38), https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-022-00262-6

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Decadal oscillation provides skillful multiyear predictions of Antarctic sea ice.

Yusen Liu, Cheng Sun, Jianping Li, Fred Kucharski, Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Mohammad Adnan Abid, Xichen Li

Nature Communications (2023), 14, 8286, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44094-1

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SPEEDY-NEMO: performance and applications of a fully-coupled intermediate-complexity climate model.

Paolo Ruggieri, Muhammad Adnan Abid, Javier Garcier-Serrano, Carlo Grancini, Fred Kucharski, Salvatore Pascale, Danila Volpi

Climate Dynamics (2024), https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07097-8

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Multi-decadal pacemaker simulations with an intermediate-complexity climate model.

Franco Molteni, Fred Kucharski, Riccardo Farneti

Weather and Climate Dynamics (2024), 5(1), 293-322, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-293-2024

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Amazon drought amplifies SST warming in the North Tropical Atlantic.

Wei Lou, Cheng Sun, Fred Kucharski, Jianping Li, Yusen Liu

Climate Dynamics (2024), https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07400-1

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The Interdecadal Changes of the Relationship Between May-June and July-August NWPSH and Their Physical Mechanisms.

Shuai Li, Fred Kucharski, Jie Yang, ZhiQiang Gong, Yuxuan Zhao, Guolin Feng

Geophysical Reaseach Letters (2024), https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111289

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